V1.1 | Pop Bots l BrianE l Nov 21st 2011 | Michael B Mod: Fund Surfing V2
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast, daily, contrarian system: buy sharp dips in leveraged stock ETFs, hedge overheated markets with UVXY, and otherwise rotate among stocks, bonds, or commodities—sometimes flipping long/short long‑term Treasuries by recent calm. High risk.
Runs daily. It uses a 0–100 “heat” score (RSI) of recent days. If stock indexes look too hot (SPXL/TQQQ >80), it buys UVXY (volatility jumps on pullbacks). If they look washed out (<30), it buys them (SPXL, SOXL, TQQQ) for a bounce. Otherwise it buys the most beaten‑down fund from a small menu (SPY, QQQ, SHY, UPRO/TQQQ/SOXL/TECL; sometimes DBC/DBA). When fear is high, it switches to TMF/TMV, picking the calmer side by 5‑day drawdown (drop from a recent peak).
Out-of-sample edge: ~72% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P 500; Sharpe ~1.11 vs ~1.33; max drawdown ~78% vs ~19% for the S&P 500. Higher risk, but volatility hedges and bond rotations aim for large upside in volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | 2.39 | 0.41 | 0.64 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 623.63% | 14.84% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 15,482,189.61% | 130.61% | 2.11% | -7.1% | 1.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,548,228,960.98Regulatory Fees
$4,691,030.20
Total Slippage
$33,705,686.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 1, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Mean reversion, tactical rotation, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, treasuries, commodities, daily
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks