V1.1 | Pop Bots l BrianE l Nov 21st 2011 | Michael B Mod: Fund Surfing V2
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, momentum-driven rotation among leveraged and traditional ETFs. It uses RSI-based filters and short-term drawdown risk checks to pick 1–2 assets per group, giving them full weight in that path. The goal is to ride short-term uptrends while avoiding sharp downsides by rotating across groups that reflect different market forces (stocks, tech, semis, volatility, and bonds).
- Every day, the system looks at a set of ETFs, including leveraged plays (like 3x long bets) and traditional index ETFs.
- For each group (eg, UVXY Pops, SPXL Pop, SOXL Pop, UVXY SPY Pops, etc.), it runs simple rules to see if the asset passes a momentum or risk test.
- Momentum is measured with RSI (a number that summarizes how strong recent gains are). If an asset’s RSI over a short window is too high or too low, it may trigger or block a buy signal depending on the path. For example, a typical rule might be: if the RSI is below a threshold in a certain window, the asset becomes a candidate; if above another threshold, it may be avoided.
- Risk screens (like max drawdown over a short lookback) are used to prefer assets with smaller downside in recent days.
- The algorithm ranks candidates within a group (top or bottom based on RSI) and selects a small number per group (often 1 or 2) using a bottom/top selection rule with a short window (5 to 20 days).
- When a candidate passes its filters, it is assigned full weight in that branch (100/100), meaning it would be fully allocated within that selected path. The overall portfolio is composed by aggregating active groups and paths; in practice, holdings would be scaled to total capital.
- Rebalance frequency is daily, with the algorithm re-evaluating which assets to hold based on the latest signals.
- The asset universe includes popular leveraged vehicles (SPXL for S&P 500, TQQQ for Nasdaq, SOXL for semiconductors, UVXY for volatility timing, TMF/TMV for long/short 20+ year Treasuries) and core ETFs (SPY, QQQ, TECL, UPRO, etc.). This lets the strategy rotate between risk-on assets and hedges depending on momentum and risk signals.
Momentum-driven rotation across leveraged and traditional ETFs targets outsized upside vs the S&P. Out-of-sample: ~72% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, with daily risk screens and broad diversification. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | 2.39 | 0.41 | 0.64 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606.62% | 14.62% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.9 | |
| 14,649,644.04% | 129.3% | -5.05% | -8.9% | 1.65 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,464,974,403.65Regulatory Fees
$4,761,086.73
Total Slippage
$34,209,453.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 1, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum, rsi-based filters, risk controls, daily rebalance, sector/asset rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks