V1.1 | Commander BND Quarterly | 4 Trade Days / Year
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A quarterly, rules‑based “risk‑on/risk‑off” plan. It reads bonds (BND, TLT) versus T‑bills (BIL) to judge the backdrop, then rotates into preset aggressive, defensive, or inverse ETFs chosen by a short‑term hot/cold (RSI) check.
Once a quarter it checks bonds to read risk.
• Risk test: if BND (broad US bonds) beat BIL (1–3mo T‑bills), it’s risk‑on. Put 70% into four aggressive funds (3x tech/semis/fin/long‑Treasury) ranked by lowest 10‑day RSI (a short‑term “hot vs cold” score; lower = recently cooled).
• Else it’s risk‑off: use TLT vs BIL to tell if rates are rising (favor inverse Treasuries/stocks, staples, energy + some USD) or falling (favor S&P/Nasdaq/health care, Treasuries, gold). Optional 30% anti‑beta sleeve mirrors this.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~30% vs SPY ~22.6%, driven by disciplined quarterly risk-on/off rotation and a contrarian low-RSI picker. Higher upside with explicit regime rules and risk controls, not a passive S&P 500 bet.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | 0.7 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355.73% | 13.22% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.81 | |
| 13,575.99% | 49.58% | 0.74% | 7.47% | 1.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,367,599.47Regulatory Fees
$365.51
Total Slippage
$2,227.59
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, quarterly rebalancing, risk-on/risk-off, bond signals, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 27 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks