V1.1 | Commander BND Quarterly | 4 Trade Days / Year
Today’s Change (Apr 19, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A quarterly, rules‑based “risk‑on/risk‑off” plan. It reads bonds (BND, TLT) versus T‑bills (BIL) to judge the backdrop, then rotates into preset aggressive, defensive, or inverse ETFs chosen by a short‑term hot/cold (RSI) check.
Once a quarter it checks bonds to read risk.
• Risk test: if BND (broad US bonds) beat BIL (1–3mo T‑bills), it’s risk‑on. Put 70% into four aggressive funds (3x tech/semis/fin/long‑Treasury) ranked by lowest 10‑day RSI (a short‑term “hot vs cold” score; lower = recently cooled).
• Else it’s risk‑off: use TLT vs BIL to tell if rates are rising (favor inverse Treasuries/stocks, staples, energy + some USD) or falling (favor S&P/Nasdaq/health care, Treasuries, gold). Optional 30% anti‑beta sleeve mirrors this.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~30% vs SPY ~22.6%; a disciplined, quarterly risk-on/risk-off strategy that rotates to growth or defensive picks. Potential for higher upside and diversification, but note larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 0.7 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383.78% | 13.67% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.83 | |
| 12,729.81% | 48.38% | -6.19% | -3.9% | 1.4 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,282,980.56Regulatory Fees
$385.39
Total Slippage
$2,346.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, quarterly rebalancing, risk-on/risk-off, bond signals, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 27 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks