V1.1 | Commander BND Quarterly | 4 Trade Days / Year
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A quarterly strategy that uses the bond market as a traffic light: green means buy aggressive leveraged funds, red means shift to defensive, hedging, bond, gold, or dollar funds depending on interest-rate trends.
This strategy checks in only 4 times a year.
First, it uses bond ETFs as a market mood gauge: if broad bonds (BND) are doing better than cash-like T-bills (BIL), it goes aggressive. If not, it gets defensive.
Then it asks whether interest rates seem to be rising or falling, and picks a small basket of stock, bond, gold, dollar, or hedging funds. Within each basket, it prefers the ones that have recently cooled off the most.
Out-of-sample edge: 22.8% annualized return vs 20.2% for the S&P, driven by a bond-led signal and quarterly risk-on/risk-off tilts. Diversified, disciplined risk management with meaningful upside; note higher drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.67 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425.03% | 13.77% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.84 | |
| 13,619.78% | 46.65% | 7.7% | 7.69% | 1.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,371,977.86Regulatory Fees
$348.43
Total Slippage
$2,601.38
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, quarterly rebalancing, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, multi-asset, momentum/mean-reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 27 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks