V1.1 | Commander BND Quarterly | 4 Trade Days / Year
Today’s Change (Sep 21, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A quarterly, rules‑based “risk‑on/risk‑off” plan. It reads bonds (BND, TLT) versus T‑bills (BIL) to judge the backdrop, then rotates into preset aggressive, defensive, or inverse ETFs chosen by a short‑term hot/cold (RSI) check.
Once a quarter it checks bonds to read risk.
• Risk test: if BND (broad US bonds) beat BIL (1–3mo T‑bills), it’s risk‑on. Put 70% into four aggressive funds (3x tech/semis/fin/long‑Treasury) ranked by lowest 10‑day RSI (a short‑term “hot vs cold” score; lower = recently cooled).
• Else it’s risk‑off: use TLT vs BIL to tell if rates are rising (favor inverse Treasuries/stocks, staples, energy + some USD) or falling (favor S&P/Nasdaq/health care, Treasuries, gold). Optional 30% anti‑beta sleeve mirrors this.
Out-of-sample return ≈21.39% with a quarterly risk-on/risk-off framework blending levered and defensive exposure. Paired with the S&P, it adds regime-aware hedging and diversification to capture upside while managing risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.13 | 0.37 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421.53% | 13.86% | -0.5% | 2.26% | 0.84 | |
| 12,808.74% | 46.53% | -1.05% | 3.05% | 1.37 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,290,874.31Regulatory Fees
$332.46
Total Slippage
$2,470.52
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, quarterly rebalancing, risk-on/risk-off, bond signals, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 27 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
PST
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks