v1.1 Cautious 🤷‍♂️ Strategy Sorter okhi2u | shared
Today’s Change (Jan 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A cautious, tactical switcher: buy dips in big US tech with leveraged ETFs when conditions are cool, and shift to cash, Treasuries, or a volatility hedge when markets look overheated, choppy, or trending down. Picks recent top‑performing sub‑systems.
A rules‑based switcher. It rotates between offense (TQQQ/SPXL), defense (BIL T‑bills, EDV/TMF long Treasuries or TBT short bonds), and hedge (VXX volatility).
It uses 3 dials: (1) Heat meter (RSI): low = buy dips (often 66% TQQQ + 34% BIL); very high = step out to VXX/cash. (2) Trend: 200‑day averages and stock‑vs‑bond strength gate offense. (3) Calmness: when SPY’s swings are small it tries more ideas; when large it simplifies/defends. It also favors the ~5 sub‑systems that worked best recently.
Dynamic rotation across offense/defense/hedge diversifies risk and protects capital. In out-of-sample, it shows lower annualized return and higher drawdowns than the S&P, but provides diversification and volatility dampening in markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | 0.76 | 0.29 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160.41% | 16.01% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.83 | |
| 16,897.35% | 121.87% | -1.96% | 3.93% | 2.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,699,735.43Regulatory Fees
$7,959.07
Total Slippage
$51,529.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility targeting, risk-on/risk-off, hedging, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BWZ
SPDR Bloomberg Short Term International Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks