V1.1 BWC+HTX: Sub-Zero RSI MA Crossover (BT June 2 2015) Smart Sane SVXY Edition incl. UVXY & Extreme Beta
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A fast, rules-based, risk‑on/risk‑off approach. It buys sharp rebounds in oversold markets, goes defensive or short in weak trends, and in calm times tilts to whichever is stronger (bonds or stocks), with strict caps on riskier positions like SVXY.
It’s a rulebook that shifts between offense, defense, and quick hedges.
1) Regime check: compares a short vs long “heat” score (RSI) on the S&P 500. Short-term stronger = normal; weaker = weak.
2) Weak: if stocks are very washed out (low RSI), buy the 2 most beaten‑down high‑octane stock funds (3x tech/semis/Nasdaq/S&P) for a bounce. Otherwise use defensive/short funds (BTAL, SH/SDS, cash), especially if price is under its 200‑day average.
3) Normal: if indexes/sectors look overheated (very high RSI), add brief hedges (UVXY or inverse tech/semis/oil). Otherwise pick bonds or stocks based on which is stronger; in stocks, mix recent winners with lower‑drawdown picks. SVXY (short volatility) is capped at 26% of the portfolio.
Out-of-sample, this rule-based strategy diversifies risk by switching between risk-on, defensive, and hedges with a capped SVXY exposure. It targets oversold rebounds, aims to curb tail risk, and seeks steadier risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 24%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, momentum and mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, bonds vs stocks, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 27 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DRIP
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks