V1.1 BWC+HTX: Sub-Zero RSI MA Crossover (BT June 2 2015) Smart Sane SVXY Edition incl. UVXY & Extreme Beta
Today’s Change (Mar 15, 2026)
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About
A rules-based switch between risk-on and risk-off using an RSI trend check. In selloffs it buys the most beaten-down 3× stock ETFs; in uptrends it rides strong trends and hedges when markets look too hot. Can rotate to Treasuries; SVXY capped at 26%.
RSI is a 0–100 “heat” score of recent price moves (low=cold, high=hot). First, compare SPY’s 30‑ vs 45‑day RSI: if short‑term > long‑term, market is “constructive”; else “weak.”
Weak: if very oversold (RSI<30) buy the coldest 3× stock ETFs; otherwise use defensive/short or T‑bills.
Constructive: if too hot (RSI>80/85) hedge (volatility/sector shorts). Otherwise own strong trends (3× index) plus a capped short‑vol slice (SVXY ≤26%). If bonds lead, hold Treasuries.
Regime-driven, risk-controlled rotation: buy dip leaders, ride trends, hedge when markets heat up, with capped SVXY and Treasury tilt. Diversifies, adds downside protection, and complements the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 0.1 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 276.07% | 13.09% | -2.85% | -2.42% | 0.78 | |
| 267,081.91% | 108.06% | 2.25% | 13.16% | 1.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$26,718,190.57Regulatory Fees
$195,807.11
Total Slippage
$1,369,905.16
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 24%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility etps, tactical allocation, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 27 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DRIP
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks