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V1.1 BWC+HTX: Sub-Zero RSI MA Crossover (BT June 2 2015) Smart Sane SVXY Edition incl. UVXY & Extreme Beta
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About

A rules-based switch between risk-on and risk-off using an RSI trend check. In selloffs it buys the most beaten-down 3× stock ETFs; in uptrends it rides strong trends and hedges when markets look too hot. Can rotate to Treasuries; SVXY capped at 26%.
NutHow it works
RSI is a 0–100 “heat” score of recent price moves (low=cold, high=hot). First, compare SPY’s 30‑ vs 45‑day RSI: if short‑term > long‑term, market is “constructive”; else “weak.” Weak: if very oversold (RSI<30) buy the coldest 3× stock ETFs; otherwise use defensive/short or T‑bills. Constructive: if too hot (RSI>80/85) hedge (volatility/sector shorts). Otherwise own strong trends (3× index) plus a capped short‑vol slice (SVXY ≤26%). If bonds lead, hold Treasuries.
CheckmarkValue prop
An adaptive, regime-switch strategy that captures big moves while hedging froth and rotating to bonds. In 716 days of OOS data it produced about 13.5% annualized return with a ~0.49 Sharpe, offering diversification beyond SPY via hedged leverage.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.8
0.24
0.01
0.1
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
286.9%
13.83%
3.07%
6.63%
0.81
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,334,148.75
Regulatory Fees
$182,681.89
Total Slippage
$1,276,917.55
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 24%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility etps, tactical allocation, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type