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V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Switches playbooks: in rough markets it buys sharp dips with 3x stock ETFs or sits in a safety basket; in calm bull markets it runs a higher‑growth mix of UPRO/TQQQ + TMF, otherwise returns to the same safety basket.
NutHow it works
Step 1: Is the S&P 500’s worst drop in the last year over 10%? If yes, it’s “bear.” If no, it’s “bull.” Bear: Split in two. For Nasdaq and S&P slices, buy 3x ETFs after a ~5% weekly drop (TQQQ=Nasdaq‑100, UPRO=S&P 500), unless today already jumped >5%; otherwise use a safety basket (UUP=US dollar, GLD=gold, XLP=consumer‑staples). Bull: If calm/trending, go risk‑on: ~55% UPRO/TQQQ (balanced by volatility) + ~45% TMF (3x long Treasuries). If not calm, use the safety basket. Weights refresh about monthly.
CheckmarkValue prop
Dynamic regime-switching strategy that buys dips in bear markets and shifts to growth in calm bulls, with a safety sleeve for risk control. Out-of-sample: ~15.2% annualized return and solid risk-adjusted metrics vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.210.960.320.57
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
695.74%13.92%1.75%5.97%0.84
13,929.32%36.44%9.74%18.41%1.21
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,402,932.12
Regulatory Fees
$1,896.17
Total Slippage
$10,201.39
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 12, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, regime switching, leveraged etfs, dip buying, risk-on/risk-off, trend and safety
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toGLD, UUPandXLP. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 17.37%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 34.68%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.