Skip to Content
V1.1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | Safety Mix Update
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Switches playbooks: in rough markets it buys sharp dips with 3x stock ETFs or sits in a safety basket; in calm bull markets it runs a higher‑growth mix of UPRO/TQQQ + TMF, otherwise returns to the same safety basket.
NutHow it works
Step 1: Is the S&P 500’s worst drop in the last year over 10%? If yes, it’s “bear.” If no, it’s “bull.” Bear: Split in two. For Nasdaq and S&P slices, buy 3x ETFs after a ~5% weekly drop (TQQQ=Nasdaq‑100, UPRO=S&P 500), unless today already jumped >5%; otherwise use a safety basket (UUP=US dollar, GLD=gold, XLP=consumer‑staples). Bull: If calm/trending, go risk‑on: ~55% UPRO/TQQQ (balanced by volatility) + ~45% TMF (3x long Treasuries). If not calm, use the safety basket. Weights refresh about monthly.
CheckmarkValue prop
Dynamic regime-switching strategy that shifts between bear-dip buys and bull-growth exposure to diversify a core SPY holding. OOS: ~12.6% vs SPY ~22.8%, with higher drawdowns (~34.7% vs ~18.8%). A complementary, adaptive risk path.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.21
0.96
0.32
0.57
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
686.4%
14.09%
3.07%
6.63%
0.85
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,199,222.77
Regulatory Fees
$1,656.08
Total Slippage
$9,684.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 12, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, regime switching, leveraged etfs, dip buying, risk-on/risk-off, trend and safety
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type