v1.03 - Non-Inverted Yields Bear Market (RSI)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A safety-first, daily strategy. It sits in T‑Bills most of the time, only in bear markets taking short, tactical trades: buying quick rebounds with 3x index funds (TQQQ/UPRO) or shorting (SQQQ). A volatility spike sends it straight back to cash.
Daily rules decide what to hold.
1) If market fear spikes (UVXY very hot on a 0–100 “heat gauge” called RSI), go to cash-like T‑Bills (BIL).
2) If the S&P 500 is in an uptrend, stay in T‑Bills.
3) If in a downtrend, use RSI and short-term trend: try brief rebounds with 3x stock funds (TQQQ/UPRO) or, if momentum is weak, short with SQQQ. If signals aren’t strong, sit in short-term bonds (BSV).
Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.52 vs SPY 1.22; OOS return ~20.41% vs 20.38%; max drawdown ~7.57% vs ~18.76%; Calmar ~2.70. Daily, safety-first, mostly in cash, with selective bear-market bets and strong downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 0.12 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616.19% | 14.71% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.9 | |
| 2,726.14% | 26.23% | 0.28% | 0.86% | 1.01 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$282,613.65Regulatory Fees
$535.63
Total Slippage
$3,187.83
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, rsi mean-reversion, trend-following, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, risk-managed, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks