V1.0.2 | Moat Surfer + Melt Up | Trades Weekly | 3YR BT:436.6%AR, 25.8% MD, 2.76 Sharpe, 16.93 Calmar
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Weekly, 70% rides the top stock from a curated “moat” list unless markets are overheated or crashing; 30% rides Eli Lilly. In extremes it flips to safety (Treasuries), volatility (VIXM), or shorts the S&P 500 (SH). Very concentrated, tactical.
It rebalances weekly and splits the account 70/30.
- 70% “Moat Surfer”: If the S&P 500 isn’t too hot (RSI below ~77), buy the strongest recent winner from a handpicked list (NVDA, AAPL, COST, etc.). If a sudden 5‑day plunge hit, use VIXM (fear). If the market is very hot, use SH (goes up when the S&P falls).
- 30% “Melt Up”: Ride Eli Lilly (LLY) unless it’s overheated or there’s a sharp drop; otherwise sit in SHY (short‑term Treasuries) or, if both LLY and the market are very hot, use SH. RSI is a 0–100 speed/heat gauge: high = ran up fast; low = cooled off.
Out-of-sample: ~27.2% annualized return vs S&P 19.2%, beta ~0.64. Uses VIXM/SH hedges to dampen crashes; Calmar ~0.77 shows solid return per drawdown, though max drawdowns can exceed ~35% in severe markets.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 22, 2024
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum, risk-on/risk-off, weekly rebalance, long/short, volatility hedge (vixm), single-stock tilt (lly), concentrated
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
APD
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Stocks
FLNG
FLEX LNG Ltd. Ordinary Shares
Stocks
KLAC
KLA Corporation Common Stock
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Stocks