V1.01|Anti-chop QLD For The Long Term
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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About
All‑weather, rules‑based plan. Uses a long‑term trend test, extreme hot/cold signals, and a short‑term anti‑chop rule to rotate among QQQ, S&P 500 (RSP/VOO), inverse QQQ (PSQ/SQQQ), or short‑term Treasuries (SHY). Daily rebalanced.
Step 1 (big trend): If SPY is above its 175‑day moving average (avg price over 175 days), hold RSP—unless QQQ looks very hot (RSI, a 0–100 hot/cold gauge, >81), then briefly use SQQQ (3x short QQQ).
Step 2 (weak trend): If SPY is below that and QQQ is very cold (RSI<28) buy QLD (2x long QQQ); if SPY is very cold (RSI<30) buy VOO.
Step 3 (otherwise): An anti‑chop rule uses QQQ vs its 23‑/20‑day averages to tilt among QQQ (Nasdaq‑100), PSQ (short QQQ), or SHY (T‑bills), adding more QQQ when trend is strong and more PSQ/SHY when weak. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: 22.39% annualized vs 21.34% for S&P, 14.09% max drawdown vs 18.76%, and Calmar ~1.59. A disciplined, rule-based rotation with hedges reduces whipsaws and improves risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.18 | 0.61 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 821.79% | 15.02% | 2.46% | 6.63% | 0.91 | |
| 5,374.6% | 28.68% | 2.2% | 7.86% | 1.33 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$547,460.18Regulatory Fees
$887.61
Total Slippage
$7,680.10
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 14, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, momentum, regime switching, hedged, leveraged etfs, long/short, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total