V1 Silicon Machine (BT 1 year - AR2388, DD28.5)
Today’s Change (Apr 7, 2026)
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About
A daily, contrarian bet focused on semiconductors/tech. It compares short‑term strength of bonds vs chips, then either buys one chip play (often 3× bull) or a 3× inverse tech fund. ~90% invested, 10% cash. Very volatile with potential large swings.
Each day: 1) Score US mid‑term Treasury bonds (IEI) and the semiconductor sector (XSD) by how strongly they’ve moved over the last few days (RSI = a quick up‑vs‑down score). 2) If bonds look “hotter” than chips, buy one semiconductor play (SOXL or a chip stock) chosen by very short‑term performance. 3) Otherwise, buy one bearish tech fund (SOXS or TECS). About 90% is invested; 10% stays in cash.
Compelling as a tactical satellite to SPY: a contrarian semis/bonds tilt with lower beta (0.74) and diversification benefits. However, out-of-sample return is modest (~2.4%/yr) with steep drawdowns (61%), so use as a risk-managed, non-core sleeve.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.67 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 652.12% | 13.42% | -1.73% | -4.49% | 0.82 | |
| 423.02% | 10.88% | 36.16% | 28.34% | 0.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$52,302.21Regulatory Fees
$925.18
Total Slippage
$3,954.29
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, technology, tactical, daily rebalancing, mean reversion, momentum signal, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
INTC
Intel Corp
Stocks
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
Stocks
QCOM
Qualcomm Inc
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated
Stocks
XSD
State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF
Stocks