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V1 | Normal or High Inflation? | Framework | DereckNielsen
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About

A tactical, inflation‑aware plan. It classifies stock and inflation regimes, then in bear markets trades between 2x long/short Nasdaq or short‑term bonds; in bull markets it sits in short‑term Treasuries, adding a short‑Treasury hedge when inflation runs hot.
NutHow it works
First it labels regimes: - Stocks: SPY vs its 200‑day average → bull/bear. - Inflation: TLT vs its 400‑day average → normal/high. Bear: flip among QLD (2x up Nasdaq), QID (2x down Nasdaq), SSO (2x up S&P), and BSV/SHY (short‑term Treasuries) using QLD’s 20‑day trend and RSI (an overbought/oversold gauge; <~30 = very beaten‑down). Pair with bonds: add TBX (short Treasuries) if inflation’s high; use TLT when normal. Bull: hold SHY; if inflation’s high, split SHY/TBX.
CheckmarkValue prop
Inflation-aware, regime-switching strategy that reduces equity exposure in bear/high-inflation periods and hedges with Treasuries. Aims for lower drawdowns and steadier risk-adjusted returns versus SPY, helping preserve capital in volatile markets.
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, regime switching, trend/mean-reversion, inflation-aware, leveraged etfs, tactical
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type