V1 BWC: Overbought -> Correction Catcher
Today’s Change (Mar 23, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, tactical ‘overbought → hedge’ system. When stocks look overheated, it tries to catch the correction via VIX funds or metals/commodities. Otherwise it parks in T‑Bills and sometimes trends long/short Treasuries, with selective tech exposure.
Each day it asks: is the U.S. stock market (SPY) running hot? It uses RSI—a 0–100 “heat” gauge where high = overbought. If hot, it prepares for a pullback by buying “fear” funds (VIXY/UVXY) or rotating to gold/silver/commodities (GLD/SLV/PDBC). If not, it mostly sits in T‑Bills (BIL) and runs a small trend trade in long/short Treasuries (TMF/TMV). Tech (QQQ/TQQQ) is used only when conditions look calm.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats SPY on risk-adjusted terms: oos Sharpe 2.29 vs 1.08; max drawdown 1.16% vs 18.76%; smoother, diversified gains via hedges, bonds and gold — about 6.58% vs SPY’s 19.23%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | -0.15 | 0.01 | -0.11 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 287.3% | 12.69% | -5.67% | -5.04% | 0.77 | |
| 1,157.88% | 25.02% | 0.28% | 0.86% | 1.03 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$125,788.49Regulatory Fees
$174.39
Total Slippage
$1,079.95
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility hedging, commodities tilt, bond momentum, leveraged etfs, regime switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks