V1 BWC: GoldBug
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based tilt toward gold and gold miners with an explicit risk-off sleeve. It uses momentum and trend signals to pick and size levered gold/miner ETFs, while rotating into hedges when conditions worsen, all with equal cash weighting and daily rebalancing.
- Each day, the system looks at a basket of gold and gold-mining assets (GLD, UGL, NUGT, GDX, DUST, JDST, and related tickers) plus a risk-off sleeve (UUP, SPYV, SHY, SHV, SVXY, etc.).
- It runs momentum checks (using indicators like RSI over a 14-day window) to gauge which assets look strongest or weakest.
- It compares GLD’s momentum and trend against its own moving averages (for example, GLD’s 30-day vs 40-day moving average). A bullish cross (shorter MA above longer MA) supports holding or increasing gold exposure; a bearish signal supports reducing risk or moving to hedges.
- It looks at how each asset is performing relative to GLD (relative-strength-based filtering). The strategy tends to favor the stronger momentum assets (e.g., UGL, NUGT when gold is in an uptrend, or DUST/JDST when miners are likely to fall).
- Several nested checks involve GLD’s RSI (e.g., very low RSI suggesting oversold conditions, or very high RSI suggesting overbought conditions) and occasional cumulative-return tests over short windows to time entries or exits.
- The cash portion is allocated equally (“wt-cash-equal”) among the selected assets, so no single asset dominates unless signals clearly favor it.
- A separate risk-off module (“WIP ---- Gold Moving Down --HELP”) activates when signals indicate gold weakness or market stress: it selects top-performing hedges from assets like UUP, SPYV, SHY, SHV, SVXY to stabilize the portfolio.
- The overall approach is daily, so positions are rotated frequently, leveraging or de-leveraging as signals warrant, with the goal of tilting toward gold when momentum is positive and stepping into hedges when momentum turns negative.
Gold-centric, rules-based strategy delivering higher risk-adjusted upside vs S&P. OOS return ~34.6% vs 21%; Sharpe ~1.33 vs 1.25; Calmar ~1.56. Daily rebalancing plus built-in risk-off hedges for downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394.03% | 13.72% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 3,355.66% | 32.99% | 1.89% | 11.05% | 1.43 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$345,565.54Regulatory Fees
$1,556.18
Total Slippage
$9,630.48
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 26, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Gold, momentum, levered-etfs, tactical-allocation, risk-management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
JDST
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
NUGT
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPYV
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF
Stocks