V1 Biotech BlackSwanCatcher K-1 Free
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Biotech risk hedge that uses RSI/momentum and regime signals to move into inverse biotech BIS on biotech overextension, with mean‑reversion and volatility checks plus a defensive basket and bond tilt for non‑crash regimes; K‑1 friendly and non‑rebalancing by default.
- It watches biotech through XBI and biotech-linked ETFs (BIB, BIS) and uses simple momentum/risk indicators (RSI, cumulative returns, max drawdown, standard deviation).
- If XBI looks extremely overbought (RSI over 5 days > 85), it shifts fully into BIS (inverse biotech) to protect against a crash.
- If biotech dynamics show sharp recent moves (e.g., BIB’s one‑day gain is very large), it may also move into BIS under a “Huge volatility” rule.
- If mean reversion signals appear (e.g., BIB is deeply oversold by RSI), the system explores alternative biotech/defensive moves, including safety baskets or bonds.
- In calmer regimes, it builds a small safety basket from up to 3 defensive assets (like healthcare, utilities, consumer staples, gold, USD, etc.) selected by short‑term performance and risk metrics.
- A separate pathway considers bonds (IEF, TLT, TMF, BND) to tilt toward safety depending on the regime assessed by the model.
- The strategy runs with no automatic rebalancing (rebalance = none), so it uses the signals to pick weights and holds until another signal changes the regime.
- “K-1 Free” indicates a tax‑reporting friendly wrapper, reducing K‑1 forms for investors.
- In plain terms: it’s biotech‑focused protection that goes long/short biotech depending on signals, and otherwise parks cash/defense in a basket of defensive assets and bonds to weather risk.
Out-of-sample edge: ~39% annualized return and ~1.31 Sharpe vs SPY’s ~21%/1.29. Calmar ~1.02; biotech hedges and defensive tilts aim for higher risk-adjusted upside, with larger drawdowns in stress but quicker recoveries.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 0.64 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292.44% | 14.07% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.83 | |
| 6,039.88% | 48.64% | -1.94% | 5.99% | 1.4 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$613,987.75Regulatory Fees
$3,899.90
Total Slippage
$24,528.01
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Biotech risk hedging, inverse/leveraged etfs, defensive asset allocation, volatility risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIB
ProShares Ultra NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BIS
ProShares UltraShort NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
USDU
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund
Stocks
XBI
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
Stocks
XLB
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks