V1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B+Fund Surfing v2.0a+Agressive Battleship III
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A regime-aware, multi-stream ETF strategy that combines dip-buy opportunities with momentum-based stock/sector picks and an aggressive risk-on/off engine, balanced by a defensive Safety Mix to aim for growth with downside protection.
The strategy runs three main streams that are kept in balance by cash-equal weighting. First, Bear BUYDIPS looks for dip opportunities in Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 and, when signals confirm, tilts toward growth bets using leveraged or inverse-leaning ETFs (e.g., UPRO, TQQQ) but only after multiple price/momentum checks. Second, Fund Surfing picks top or bottom performers using momentum-like signals (RSI and relative strength) across a diversified set of assets, adding or rotating into those that look strongest. Third, Agressive Battleship III is a momentum/risk-control module that flips between risk-on bets and hedges based on volatility and trend signals (e.g., UVXY, SPXU, UPRO, TMF/TMV, TECL, SOXL) and includes inflation/commodity hedges (DBC, GLD, UUP). Throughout, a Safety Mix (dollar, gold, staples, short-duration bonds) sits as a defensive core and is used when risk metrics exceed thresholds. The system uses look-back windows (1–400 days) and drawdown/moving-average checks to avoid false signals. The result is a dynamic, regime-aware allocation that seeks growth in favorable conditions while leaning on hedges when risk rises.
Signal logic is rule-based, not a single indicator: it combines price action, momentum proxies, and drawdown/volatility checks to decide where to place capital.
Outperforms SPY on upside: out-of-sample annualized return 31.66% vs 22.80%, via regime-aware, multi-stream ETF strategy with a Safety Mix. Captures growth in favorable regimes with hedges; expect some drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 1.27 | 0.3 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167.47% | 14.37% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 58,593.99% | 138.75% | 8.18% | 12.92% | 2.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,869,399.39Regulatory Fees
$14,085.29
Total Slippage
$89,726.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk hedging, multi-strategy etf-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 35 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
CORN
Teucrium Corn Fund
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
ESPO
VanEck Video Gaming and eSports ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks