V1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B+Fund Surfing v2.0a
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Two-sleeve plan: In “bear” markets it buys sharp 5‑day dips in Nasdaq/S&P with 3x ETFs or parks in a defensive mix; in “bull/calm” it runs a Hedgefundie‑style stocks+bonds blend. A second sleeve “surfs” to the most beaten‑down funds (or bonds) using RSI and a volatility check.
Split 50/50 between a regime switcher and a “fund surfer.” RSI = 0–100 score of recent strength (low = oversold). Max drawdown = worst recent drop. 3x ETFs move ~3× per day.
(1) Regime: If the S&P 500’s 1‑yr drop >10% (bearish), it buys 5‑day dips in Nasdaq/S&P via TQQQ/UPRO unless today already jumped >5%; otherwise it holds a Safety Mix (UUP=USD, GLD=gold, XLP=staples, SHY=short‑term Treasuries). If not bearish, it runs a Hedgefundie‑style blend: ~55% 3x stocks (tilted to the calmer of UPRO/TQQQ) + 45% 3x long Treasuries (TMF); if the last 10 days were rough, use the Safety Mix.
(2) Fund surfer: When volatility (UVXY) isn’t hot, buy the single lowest‑RSI fund from a small list (stocks/tech or SHY). When vol is hot, either buy the two lowest‑RSI funds from that list plus commodities (DBC/DBA), or pick TMF vs TMV (3x long vs 3x short long‑bonds) based on which held up better over 5 days.
Dynamic regime-switching strategy aims for higher upside than SPY: ~36% annualized vs ~23%, using bear dips and risk gates to tilt to leverage in rallies and safeties in downturns, higher long-run returns with managed risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.37 | 1.57 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630.52% | 15.06% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.92 | |
| 209,141.34% | 71.48% | 4.18% | 11.58% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,924,133.96Regulatory Fees
$42,827.09
Total Slippage
$288,288.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, dip-buying, leveraged etfs, volatility filter, tech tilt, bonds and commodities, defensive mix
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks