V1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B+Fund Surfing v2.0a
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Two-sleeve tactical plan: a regime sleeve that buys 3x index dips or hides in a safety mix, and a short‑term sleeve that buys the most oversold funds or flips into Treasuries/commodities when fear spikes. Uses RSI, drawdowns, and volatility gates.
It splits your money 50/50 into two sleeves.
1) Regime sleeve: If the S&P 500 is >10% below its 1‑yr high, buy dips only after a ~5% 5‑day fall in QQQ/SPY via 3x funds (TQQQ/UPRO); else sit in a safety mix (UUP, GLD, XLP, SHY). If not in a deep slump, hold a growth blend (UPRO/TQQQ sized by calm + TMF); if risk rises, go back to safety.
2) Short‑term sleeve: In calm markets, buy the single most “oversold” fund by RSI; in fear spikes (UVXY RSI ≥70), rotate into long/short Treasuries or 2 oversold picks incl. commodities. RSI=heat score (low=oversold); drawdown=drop from high; 3x ETFs are high risk.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~37.5% vs SPY ~22.8%, powered by two sleeves: regime dip play + volatility rotation. Captures bigger upside and diversification, but lower risk-adjusted return and higher drawdowns in stress than the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, buy-the-dip, risk-on/risk-off, volatility filter, treasuries, commodities, gold, us dollar, mean reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks