V1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A market-switching strategy: in bad markets it buys major stock dips with leveraged funds; in good markets it holds an aggressive stock/bond mix, and moves to a defensive basket when conditions weaken.
This strategy first asks: has the S&P 500 had a bad year? If yes, it treats the market as bearish and only buys sharp short-term drops in big U.S. stock indexes using amplified funds like TQQQ and UPRO; otherwise it sits in a defensive mix of dollar strength, gold, staples, and short-term bonds.
If the year has not been bad, it treats the market as bullish. Then it holds an aggressive mix of amplified U.S. stocks plus long-term Treasury bonds, but switches back to the same defensive mix if the market starts wobbling.
Dynamic regime-switching strategy captures upside in bull markets with leveraged bets while tactically hedging with defensive assets, offering diversification vs SPY. Out-of-sample: ~18.9% annualized vs SPY 20.6%; different risk profile for risk-aware portfolios.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 0.96 | 0.32 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791.95% | 14.07% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 15,630.39% | 35.58% | 1.14% | -5.42% | 1.19 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,573,039.43Regulatory Fees
$1,627.72
Total Slippage
$10,309.93
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, leveraged etfs, dip buying, risk-on/risk-off, us equities, treasuries, defensive assets
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks