V1 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Switches between buying sharp 5‑day dips (with 3x Nasdaq/S&P) in bear phases and a leveraged stocks+long‑bonds blend in bull phases, falling back to a safety basket (USD, gold, staples, short Treasuries) when trends weaken.
Regime: If SPY’s worst 1‑yr drop >10% → bear; else → bull.
Bear: Two sleeves. When QQQ or SPY fall >5% in 5 days, buy TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) or UPRO (3x S&P). If that fund already jumped >5% today—or no dip—hold Safety Mix: UUP (US dollar), GLD (gold), XLP (staples), SHY (short Treasuries).
Bull: ~55% UPRO/TQQQ + 45% TMF (3x long Treasuries). If SPY weak vs trend, switch to Safety Mix.
Out-of-sample edge: 23.24% annualized return vs SPY 22.80%, with Calmar ~0.67. A rule-based regime switch blends levered bull bets with bear-safe dips, aiming for stronger long-term growth and better downside handling vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 0.95 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791.81% | 14.3% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.87 | |
| 16,286.1% | 36.55% | -3.27% | 0.37% | 1.21 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,638,609.98Regulatory Fees
$1,543.09
Total Slippage
$10,290.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, leveraged etfs, dip buying, trend guard, risk on/off, tactical allocation, stocks, long treasuries, gold, dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks