V0.1 | Minimal BB | Simple Beta Baller Signal
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, signal-driven rotation between volatility hedges and leveraged tech/semiconductor bets, guided by simple momentum checks on SPY and corroborating bond signals. Aggressive, aiming for big upside but with notable drawdown risk.
Here's the idea in plain terms:
- What you’re investing in are a few special-purpose ETFs: some that go up when the market feels risky (UVXY, VIXY), some that try to amplify gains in tech/semiconductors (SOXL, TECL), and some that go the other way if things go poorly (SOXS, SQQQ). There are also stock market proxies (like SPY) and bond-related funds (SHY, IEF, BIL, HIBL) that act as signals of the wider market mood.
- The system checks signals every trading day and then moves money around among these assets. The key signals come from momentum measurements—basically, is a stock or ETF climbing faster than others, and how hot the overall market looks.
- Two big rules drive crowding into/bailing from positions:
1) If the broad market (SPY) looks overbought (has risen a lot, momentum is strong) and the bond side says risk is rising, the system tends to buy into volatility bets (UVXY/VIXY) to protect against a sudden drop and/or profit from rising volatility.
2) If the market looks oversold (cheap, potential for a bounce) and bonds aren’t indicating danger, it shifts toward levered long bets on tech/semiconductors like SOXL or TECL (or even their opposites if needed) to try for big upside moves.
- There are also safety nets: if the signals say risk is extreme on the downside, the system may switch to bear/ inverse bets like SOXS or SQQQ. The approach uses a few well-known or specialized ETFs rather than many stocks to keep decisions manageable.
- Rebalance is daily, so the position setup can change a lot if momentum signals flip, which can lead to big swings in performance.
- In short: the strategy is a quick-acting rotation between a volatility hedge and leveraged growth bets, guided by simple momentum checks and a bond-market read on risk appetite.
Daily rotation between volatility hedges and levered tech bets targets outsized upside. Out-of-sample annualized return ~106% vs SPY ~22%, Calmar ~1.41, and solid risk-adjusted metrics—with risk controls, albeit higher drawdowns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 7, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, etfs, momentum, volatility, sector/market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks