V0.0.1a Simple Man - BT 11-23-2011 - AaronC
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A two-mode, rule-based momentum strategy: go long momentum leaders with a heavy tilt in bullish markets (QQQ above its 175-day average) and switch to hedges/defensive assets in bearish markets (QQQ below the 175-day average). It uses RSI and moving-average tests to rank/top-select assets (including UPRO, TQQQ, UVXY, TMF/TMV, BTAL, etc.) and allocates most capital to the chosen group, with small conditional bets on volatility or leverage. Designed for high-ROI potential with aggressive tilt, it relies on leveraged ETFs and volatility products and has a non-active rebalancing cadence.
- Step 1: Check market direction by comparing QQQ’s current price to its 175-day moving average. If above, the market is considered bullish; if below, bearish.
- Step 2 (Bullish path): Build a long-side tilt focused on momentum. It targets up to 9 top assets from a large list of growth/momentum names (including UPRO and many well-known stocks) ranked by a momentum measure over a 45-day window, with about 90% of capital allocated to these top picks. There is an optional conditional that can add a volatility hedge via UVXY if a separate momentum test (RSI on TQQQ) is highly elevated.
- Step 3 (Bearish path): Shift toward hedges and defensive exposures. The code selects assets from a defensive/bond-tilt universe (e.g., TMV, TLT, AGG, TIP, BTAL, etc.), using a separate momentum sorting (RSI with a shorter window) to pick 1 or 2 bottom/more defensive names and allocate most of the capital to them (roughly 90%).
- Step 4: The strategy uses RSI (momentum strength) and moving-average tests as its decision drivers, with different lookbacks (10 days for immediate momentum, 28–45 days for ranking, 21 days for short-term trend checks).
- Step 5: Rebalancing is indicated as none in the config, but a small “corridor” parameter exists which would influence how much trading activity is allowed. The result is a two-mode, signal-driven portfolio that alternates between a momentum-laden equity tilt and a hedged, defensive tilt depending on market direction.
Two-mode momentum strategy seeks bull-market upside via leveraged leaders, with hedges in downturns. Out-of-sample: 17.95% annual return, but drawdowns around 59% vs SPY ~19%. Provides regime-based diversification and targeted risk control.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 1.26 | 0.29 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602.4% | 14.54% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 590,006.85% | 83.08% | 0.79% | 7.41% | 1.74 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$59,010,684.79Regulatory Fees
$135,918.75
Total Slippage
$963,126.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Equity momentum, leveraged etfs, tactical tilts, rule-based portfolio, hedge/defensive
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
BHP
BHP Group Limited American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
BX
Blackstone Inc.
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks