V0.0.1a Simple Man - BT 11-23-2011 - AaronC
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Regime‑switching, high‑octane strategy. In uptrends it rides recent winners (big US stocks and fast‑moving, often 3×, ETFs). If short‑term heat is extreme it flips to UVXY (volatility). In downtrends it buys the most beaten‑down picks with a small defensive hedge.
1) Trend check: if the Nasdaq fund (QQQ) is above its ~9‑month average price, it’s “risk‑on”; otherwise “risk‑off.” RSI here is a simple “heat” score: high = hot, low = beaten‑down.
Risk‑on: If short‑term heat is extreme (TQQQ or SPXL very hot), move to UVXY (a fund that jumps when markets panic). Else: 10% in a 3× S&P fund (UPRO) + 90% in the 9 strongest picks from big US stocks and fast‑moving ETFs.
Risk‑off: If long‑bonds are weak: 10% TMV (3× short‑bond) + 90% in the single most beaten‑down pick (betting on a bounce). Else: 10% BTAL (defensive) + 90% in the two most beaten‑down.
Out-of-sample: 17.95% annualized return with ~0.65 Sharpe and 59% max drawdown. A regime-switching, momentum-driven strategy targeting tech/mega-cap leaders, with a volatility hedge to pursue upside versus the S&P while accepting higher downside risk in drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 1.26 | 0.29 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602.4% | 14.54% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 590,006.85% | 83.08% | 0.79% | 7.41% | 1.74 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$59,010,684.79Regulatory Fees
$135,918.75
Total Slippage
$963,126.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime filter,momentum,mean reversion,leveraged etfs,volatility hedge,equities,bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
BHP
BHP Group Limited American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
BX
Blackstone Inc.
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks