V0.0.1a Simple Man - BT 11-23-2011 - AaronC
Today’s Change (Mar 1, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Switches between offense and defense using simple trend and “heat” checks. In uptrends it rides recent winners; if things look overheated it briefly holds a fear‑spike ETF. In downtrends it pairs a small hedge with one or two deeply oversold, often defensive assets.
1) Big trend check: Is QQQ above its 175‑day average (a long‑term trend line)? If yes = offense; if no = defense.
RSI is a 0–100 “heat meter” of recent moves.
Offense: If 3x market ETFs (TQQQ/SPXL) look too hot (RSI ~80), hold UVXY (a fear‑spike fund). Else: 10% UPRO + 90% in the 9 strongest names/ETFs by 45‑day RSI (often big tech/healthcare/quality).
Defense: If bonds (TLT) are weak, 10% TMV + the most oversold asset; else 10% BTAL + the two most oversold. Uses 3x ETFs; rebalances on ~15% drift.
This tactical, regime-switching strategy offers strong out-of-sample risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ~0.65; ~18% annualized). It blends momentum with hedges to ride uptrends and reduce losses in downturns, an appealing alternative to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 1.26 | 0.29 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618.31% | 14.77% | -1.37% | 0.68% | 0.91 | |
| 597,712.41% | 83.62% | 0.91% | 5.87% | 1.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$59,781,240.54Regulatory Fees
$132,682.65
Total Slippage
$939,970.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, momentum, tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, contrarian oversold picks, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
BHP
BHP Group Limited American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
BX
Blackstone Inc.
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks