V 1b | 🚂 Gain Train DGAF | Deez | (A: 0.30, B: 0.01, R^2: 0, R: 0.02) BT - 1JAN2015
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, rule-based, multi-asset strategy that rotates among USD exposure, cash/bonds, semiconductors, commodities, volatility hedges, and anti-beta funds using RSI, moving averages, and drawdown signals to tilt exposures.
- The system runs daily and looks at several candidate asset groups (baskets) instead of just one market.
- It starts with USD exposure: it picks one USD fund (UUP or USDU) that has the lower recent strength (relative-strength index over a 14-day window) and checks a trend condition (a moving-average crossover on the USD pair). If the USD setup looks favorable, that USD basket is included in the mix.
- If the USD condition isn’t favorable, a separate cash-like/bond group is considered (BIL, SOXL, DBC) and chosen using a short volatility/standard-deviation screen, with weights adjusted to reflect its role.
- A separate branch looks at the stock market’s near-term momentum: if the SPY’s 7-day RSI is above 76 (overbought), the system tilts toward volatility hedges (VIXY/UVXY) and may shift toward semis (SOXL or SMH) based on a max-drawdown screen.
- If the SPY is very oversold (low RSI) or other signals align, the strategy may shift toward a different mix that includes SOXS (semiconductor bears) or SOXL (long semis) depending on bond-market conditions (SHY vs VTI).
- There are also conditional checks to incorporate anti-beta or hedging exposure (BTAL) when risk is judged to be higher.
- Weights are assigned to different branches (some blocks show weights like 40/100, 20/100, 80/100), meaning some days the strategy replicates a heavier tilt toward one basket, while other days it emphasizes another.
- All decisions are meant to be re-evaluated and rebalanced daily, with lookbacks in ranges like 7 days, 14 days, 42 days, 100 days for the indicators.
- The end result is a dynamic, diversified mix across USD exposure, cash, bonds, equities, semiconductors, commodities, volatility, and anti-beta strategies, adjusted every day based on the signals described above.
Out-of-sample: about 30.5% annualized return vs SPY's 22.3%, with smaller drawdown (17.4% vs 18.8%). Calmar ~1.75 signals strong risk-adjusted gains from diversified, rule-based rotations for steadier growth than the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 8, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical-rotation, rule-based, volatility-hedged, momentum/trend
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
USDU
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund
Stocks