v 0.0.3 | If/Else into Every Sector (No Leverage) | Taco
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A no-leverage, daily-rebalanced strategy that rotates among major sector ETFs using a drawdown risk screen plus a Nasdaq-momentum cue, with a 10% crypto overlay (GBTC) activated when Bitcoin shows a trend signal.
- Every day, split 90/100 between Sector Rotation and a Crypto Overlay. The Sector Rotation block checks a momentum signal on a Nasdaq proxy (TQQQ RSI over 10 days) and then tests each major sector ETF for a healthy recent drawdown (<5% in 20 days).
- Eligible sectors (QQQ, XLY, XLC, XLI, XLB, XLE, XLP, XLV, XLU, XLF, XLRE, SHY) pass the drawdown test and are weighted evenly within the Sector Rotation bucket.
- The Crypto Overlay is considered only if GBTC trades below its 50-day EMA (50-day average price). If true, GBTC gets a 10% allocation; if false, the 10% slot stays with the sector rotation logic.
- Rebalancing happens daily, and there is no use of leverage; positions are adjusted to reflect the current rule outputs.
- In short: the strategy aims to own best-prudent sectors with a drawdown filter, while adding Bitcoin exposure only when trend conditions suggest it may be favorable, all without borrowed money.
Out-of-sample edge vs SPY: ~16.7% annual return, ~0.97 Sharpe, beta ~0.69, non-leveraged 90/10 sector rotation with a conditional crypto overlay. Lower market sensitivity and drawdown discipline offer diversification and downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 0.46 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168.71% | 13.8% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.76 | |
| 1,142.88% | 39.03% | 0.21% | -0.16% | 1.63 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$124,288.42Regulatory Fees
$354.98
Total Slippage
$2,182.84
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Sector rotation, risk-managed, non-leveraged, crypto overlay, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks
XLB
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLC
State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLF
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLI
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks