Skip to Content
v 0.0.1 | If/Else into Every Sector (No Leverage) | Taco
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A no-leverage, daily-rebalanced sector-rotation system with a small crypto overlay and a volatility hedge trigger, using max-drawdown and short-term momentum signals to pick among a few broad assets while mostly staying in cash.
NutHow it works
- Start with mostly cash (about 90%) and keep a 10% slot for potential exposure (including crypto). - Daily rebalance: evaluate signals and decide which asset to hold in that 10% slot for the day. - Momentum hedge: compute a short-term momentum signal on TQQQ (RSI over 10 days). If RSI > 79, move into VXX (volatility-based hedge) instead of chasing sector exposure. - Sector check (in order): QQQ, XLE, XME, GLD. For each, measure the biggest price drop from a peak in the last ~20 days (max drawdown). If that drawdown is less than 5%, allocate to that sector ETF and stop checking further (that sector is chosen for the day). - If none of the sector checks pass the drawdown test, shift into SHY (short-term Treasuries) as a safe-haven choice. - Crypto block: separately, if GBTC is above its 50-day moving average (i.e., price > EMA50), allocate 10% to GBTC; if not, keep that 10% slot available for the sector rules above. - No leverage anywhere, and all rebalances are daily. - Purpose: test whether using a max-drawdown filter to rotate among a small set of broad assets can beat the market while limiting downside. - Practical note for laymen: VXX is a volatility instrument and can behave very differently from stocks; GBTC is a crypto-linked vehicle; QQQ, XLE, XME, GLD, SHY are common ETFs representing tech, energy, materials, gold, and short-term bonds respectively.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: 21.43% annualized vs 18.33%; max drawdown 11.84% vs 18.76%; Sharpe 1.23 vs 1.06; Calmar 1.81. Cash-centric, no-leverage rotation with a small crypto overlay and risk hedges aiming for higher, steadier returns.

Loading backtest data...

Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Sector rotation, risk-managed, cash-centric, no leverage, crypto overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XME
State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toQQQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 19.75%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 11.84%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.