UVXY signals of the 2024-08-05 event
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily, volatility‑timed strategy. Mostly sits in cash (BIL). Buys UVXY when fear rises (not extreme), pivots to semis (SOXL) at peak fear, and in deep selloffs buys the most oversold 3× fund (SOXL/TECL/UPRO/TMF) using a simple 0–100 hot/cold score (RSI).
Daily, it reads a 0–100 “hot/cold” score (RSI) for stocks (SPY = S&P 500) and fear (UVXY = VIX‑futures ETF). If stocks look washed‑out, it buys the most beaten‑down 3× fund: SOXL (semis), TECL (tech), UPRO (S&P), or TMF (long Treasuries). Otherwise, if fear is heating up (but not red‑hot), it buys UVXY; if fear is extreme, it splits between SOXL and cash (BIL = T‑bills). With no signal, it parks in BIL.
Volatility-timed, cash-lean strategy using RSI signals to buy oversold 3× ETFs. Out-of-sample: 36.1% annualized vs 23.1% S&P; Sharpe 2.10 vs 1.27; max drawdown 2.5% vs 18.8%; Calmar ~14.5. Higher return, lower risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | -0.33 | 0.03 | -0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611.97% | 14.72% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 5,709.05% | 32.86% | 0.27% | 0.87% | 1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$580,904.78Regulatory Fees
$350.92
Total Slippage
$2,166.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 6, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, rsi-based, leveraged etfs, tactical, daily rebalance, uvxy, spy, cash parking
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks