UVXY Graduated Confidence (31,16,2012)
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
A daily “thermometer” approach: when many stock funds look overheated, it builds a larger position in UVXY to catch volatility spikes; otherwise it sits in defensive staples or bonds. Seeks smaller drawdowns than an all‑in UVXY bet, but it’s high risk due to UVXY.
Each day the portfolio is split into slices. Each slice checks a different stock fund and asks: is it overheated? (RSI = 0–100 speedometer of recent gains; >75–80 = very hot.) If yes, that slice buys UVXY (a fear/volatility fund that spikes on market drops but decays over time). If not, it parks in Consumer Staples (XLP) or a core bond fund (BOND). A special rule also fires after a sharp 6‑day drop then 1‑day pop. More hot signals → more UVXY. Rebalances daily.
Diversified volatility-timing across 11 signals. UVXY exposure rises only when many slices warn of heat, otherwise it stays hedged in XLP/BOND. Aims for steadier risk and a built-in hedge against spikes—offering a cautious alternative to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528.41% | 14.19% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.88 | |
| 3,392.29% | 29.25% | 0.67% | 7.14% | 1.96 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$349,228.65Regulatory Fees
$2,103.07
Total Slippage
$13,932.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, contrarian, momentum, tactical etf allocation, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BOND
PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks
VOX
Vanguard Communication Services ETF
Stocks
VTV
Vanguard Value ETF
Stocks