UVXY Full Confidence (82,26,2012)
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
All‑or‑nothing switch: when many market slices look overheated, go 100% into UVXY to bet on a volatility spike; otherwise park in T‑Bills. Aiming to profit from short, sharp pullbacks. Very high risk and timing‑sensitive.
Each day it asks: are parts of the stock market looking “too hot” over the past ~2 weeks? If yes, it goes all‑in on UVXY (a fund that tends to jump when markets drop fast). If not, it sits in short‑term T‑Bills. After a fast week‑long drop followed by a big 1‑day bounce, it also jumps into UVXY.
Rebalanced daily.
Not a core holding: out-of-sample results show larger drawdowns and negative risk-adjusted returns versus the S&P 500. If used, treat it as a tiny volatility-hedge satellite with strict risk controls and active monitoring, not a replacement for SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | -0.72 | 0.08 | -0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528.41% | 14.19% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.88 | |
| 243,973.51% | 75.63% | -5.89% | 6.09% | 1.51 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$24,407,351.29Regulatory Fees
$46,388.61
Total Slippage
$327,453.21
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, rsi overbought, tactical market timing, daily rebalanced, uvxy vs t‑bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks
VOOV
Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
Stocks
VOX
Vanguard Communication Services ETF
Stocks