uvxy frontrunner experiment
Today’s Change (Apr 3, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
All‑or‑nothing, contrarian switch: when parts of the market look overheated on a short‑term meter, it buys UVXY to bet on a volatility pop; otherwise it stays in SPY. Very high risk because UVXY is extremely volatile and tends to decay over time.
It watches a 10‑day “heat” score (RSI, 0–100) on several market funds: tech, value/growth, communications, staples, discretionary, financials, Nasdaq, and SPY. If any score is extremely high (about 80+; 75 for staples), it flips 100% into UVXY—a fund that jumps when fear/volatility spikes but usually bleeds in calm times. If none are hot, it holds 100% SPY. Trades only when readings cross those lines.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.42 vs SPY 1.05; Calmar ~3.0; annualized return ~70% vs SPY ~18%. Higher drawdown (~23.7% vs ~18.8%) is the trade-off for superior risk-adjusted performance vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.59 | 0.5 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 499.42% | 13.68% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.85 | |
| 386,243.9% | 80.66% | -4.19% | 2.57% | 1.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$38,634,390.00Regulatory Fees
$51,267.30
Total Slippage
$364,906.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 23, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, contrarian, rsi-based, uvxy, spy, sector signals, all-or-nothing, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks
VOOV
Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
Stocks
VOX
Vanguard Communication Services ETF
Stocks
VTV
Vanguard Value ETF
Stocks