uvxy frontrunner experiment
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
All‑or‑nothing, contrarian switch: when parts of the market look overheated on a short‑term meter, it buys UVXY to bet on a volatility pop; otherwise it stays in SPY. Very high risk because UVXY is extremely volatile and tends to decay over time.
It watches a 10‑day “heat” score (RSI, 0–100) on several market funds: tech, value/growth, communications, staples, discretionary, financials, Nasdaq, and SPY. If any score is extremely high (about 80+; 75 for staples), it flips 100% into UVXY—a fund that jumps when fear/volatility spikes but usually bleeds in calm times. If none are hot, it holds 100% SPY. Trades only when readings cross those lines.
Out-of-sample performance: ~58.7% annualized return, ~23.7% max drawdown, Sharpe ~1.29, Calmar ~2.48—well ahead of SPY’s ~19.4% return and ~18.8% drawdown, with beta ~0.34. A disciplined volatility-timing edge vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 0.5 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.39% | 14.64% | 2.46% | 6.63% | 0.9 | |
| 366,902.94% | 77.52% | 4.44% | 5.09% | 1.63 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$36,700,294.23Regulatory Fees
$44,182.20
Total Slippage
$421,769.88
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 23, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, contrarian, rsi-based, uvxy, spy, sector signals, all-or-nothing, high risk
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks
VOOV
Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
Stocks
VOX
Vanguard Communication Services ETF
Stocks
VTV
Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF
Stocks