Use SPY to Beat SPY | DereckN
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, one-position market timer that mostly holds SPY. In downtrends it buys XLK if the Nasdaq looks washed-out; otherwise it hedges with SH or PSQ (inverse funds). Uses a 200-day trend line and simple 0–100 momentum scores (RSI).
Daily, it aims to stay in SPY (the S&P 500). Two quick checks can green-light SPY. If not, and SPY is above its 200-day average, stay in SPY. If SPY is below that and the Nasdaq (QQQ) looks washed-out (RSI, a 0–100 momentum score, under 30), buy XLK (tech). Otherwise buy an inverse fund that rises when stocks fall: SH (S&P 500) or PSQ (Nasdaq). IEF/BSV are Treasury bond funds used only as signals. Exposures: broad US stocks, tech, or inverse S&P/Nasdaq.
Rule-based SPY timer with an XLK tech-tilt and a single inverse hedge. Daily rebalanced; beta ~0.96, out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.13, Calmar ~0.93. Seeks market-like exposure with potential tech-led upside and disciplined downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.79 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540.86% | 10.35% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.6 | |
| 1,622.7% | 16.3% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$172,269.67Regulatory Fees
$150.72
Total Slippage
$996.72
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, momentum, rsi, 200-day moving average, inverse etfs, us equities, technology sector, market timing, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total