US Dollar πΊπΈ vs. Chinese Market π¨π³π¨π³ -Moses
Todayβs Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based macro strategy. If the US dollar weakens, it leans into China and commodities; if it strengthens, it shifts to Treasuries, shorts, or cash. It uses trend filters, dip-buys, and volatility βairbagsβ to manage risk in real time.
1) Reads the US dollar trend (UUP). If the dollar is falling, it prefers China (FXI) and commodity/energy uptrends; if rising, it plays defense (Treasuries, shorts, cash).
2) Uses trend filters (price vs moving averages) to only own assets in uptrends.
3) Buys dips in tech/energy when they look washed out; trims or hedges when they look overheated.
4) Adds βairbagsβ (VIX funds) when the market looks stretched to help cushion pullbacks.
5) Sizes positions by their steadiness (more to calmer pieces).
Dollar-regime macro strategy with low beta (~0.65) and a strong out-of-sample Calmar (~3.19). It uses volatility hedges and regime switches to diversify SPY, cushion drawdowns, and pursue steadier, risk-adjusted gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 0.28 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 448.3% | 13.93% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 111,055.86% | 71.15% | -1.83% | 3.07% | 3.26 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$11,115,586.21Regulatory Fees
$30,918.51
Total Slippage
$205,051.40
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 7, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Macro trend-following, tactical multi-asset, volatility hedging, momentum and mean-reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 96 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AGQ
ProShares Ultra Silver
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks