US Dollar vs. Chinese Market
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A dollar‑trend switch: when the dollar weakens, own China stocks and gold (tilted toward the steadier one); when it strengthens, own gold and U.S. utilities 50/50. Uses an 8‑day vs 200‑day average on UUP to decide; trades only on signal changes.
It watches a U.S. dollar fund (UUP). If UUP’s recent 8‑day average price falls below its long‑term 200‑day average, it treats the dollar as weakening and splits money between China stocks (FXI) and gold (GLD), leaning more into the one that’s been steadier over the last month.
Otherwise, it splits evenly between gold (GLD) and U.S. utilities (XLU). It trades mainly when the dollar signal flips or weights drift a bit.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted returns with far lower drawdowns. OOS Sharpe ~2.81, Calmar ~7.65, ~52% annualized vs SPY ~20%, max drawdown ~6.8% vs ~18.8%, beta ~0.26. Dollar-driven tilts diversify.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 551.39% | 10.83% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.62 | |
| 656.69% | 11.75% | 6.88% | 15.73% | 0.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$75,668.87Regulatory Fees
$50.07
Total Slippage
$216.59
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, macro, volatility-weighted, china equities, gold, utilities, dollar signal