UPRO TMF Beta Baller Momentum
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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About
Rules-based swing/trend strategy using 3× stock and bond ETFs. It buys dips, cuts risk when overheated, rotates into strong tech/semis themes, and can shift to cash or hedges (VIX, anti‑beta, dollar) when conditions turn risk‑off.
Splits money: ~48% UPRO (3× S&P 500), ~42% TMF (3× long Treasuries), ~10% tactical. A short‑term “heat meter” (RSI: 0–100; >70 hot, <30 cold) and trend checks buy dips, trim when too hot, or park in cash (SHV/BIL). Macro filters flip between risk‑on (rotate TECL/TQQQ/SOXL winners) and risk‑off (BTAL, UUP, TMV). Brief VIX hedges on blow‑off days.
Out-of-sample risk control with lower drawdown (3.27% vs 5.07%), Calmar ~3.04, and robust hedges. Seeks steadier risk-adjusted upside while protecting against declines—better downside protection than the S&P 500, with tech/levered exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | 0.73 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 583.21% | 14.62% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.9 | |
| 389,011.23% | 79.88% | 11.75% | 15.96% | 2.06 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$38,911,123.03Regulatory Fees
$99,644.04
Total Slippage
$678,952.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 8, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum, trend-following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, risk-on/risk-off rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks