UPRO FTLT (No K-1)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily tactical rotation among UPRO, TECL, TMF, TLT, and BIL using trend and overbought/oversold checks. It aims to ride equity uptrends, buy rare tech dips, or hide in Treasuries/T‑Bills. Avoids K‑1 funds; high risk due to leverage.
It uses two simple tools: RSI (a 0–100 “stretch” score: high=overbought, low=oversold) and 30/200‑day moving averages (trend: price above=uptrend). If the S&P 500 is in an uptrend, it mostly holds UPRO (3x S&P), but goes to BIL (T‑Bills) if it’s extremely hot, or TMF (3x long Treasuries) if just hot. In downtrends, it buys TECL (3x tech) only on deep tech selloffs; otherwise it toggles among TLT (long Treasuries), UPRO, or BIL using short‑term trend and a simple risk‑on test. Rebalances daily; can split 50/50 when bonds look weak.
Out-of-sample edge: ~55.8% annualized return vs S&P 23.5%, Calmar 1.55, Sharpe 1.18. Tactical, diversified exposure with risk controls and no K-1s. Higher upside than the S&P, but expect larger drawdowns (~36% max).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 26, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks