UPRO FTLT (Azqato's Longer Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based strategy that uses SPY’s trend and RSI “heat” to switch between 3x S&P exposure (UPRO), 3x short (SPXU), 3x tech (TECL), a volatility play (UVXY), or safe bonds/cash (IEF/BSV/BIL).
Daily check: Is SPY above its 200‑day average (uptrend)? If yes, hold UPRO (3x S&P) unless very “hot”: if SPY or QQQ 10‑day RSI >80 buy UVXY (volatility), or if SPY 60‑day RSI >60 hold BIL (T‑bills).
If below (downtrend): if QQQ RSI<30 buy TECL (3x tech bounce). Else if SPY > 25‑day avg then RSI>70→SPXU (3x short S&P) else UPRO. Else choose the strongest of IEF (Treasuries), SPXU, or BSV (short bonds).
RSI=0–100 heat gauge; moving average=avg price.
Out-of-sample, this strategy shows superior risk-adjusted performance vs the S&P: Sharpe ~1.51 vs ~1.16 and annualized returns ~92% vs ~21%. It tactically rotates among leveraged longs, hedges, and cash to seek upside while managing risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.74 | 1.24 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 10,645,410.06% | 123.21% | -6.26% | -2.87% | 1.79 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,064,551,005.78Regulatory Fees
$1,655,358.95
Total Slippage
$11,893,008.77
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility-hedge, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, us equities, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks