UPRO FTLT (Azqato's Longer Backtest)
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A very aggressive market-timing strategy that flips daily between leveraged stock funds, a bearish fund, a volatility spike trade, or bonds based on trend and “overheated/oversold” signals.
This strategy checks the U.S. stock market every day and puts 100% of the money into just one holding.
If the market looks healthy, it usually buys UPRO, a fund that tries to amplify gains in the S&P 500. If stocks look too overheated, it switches to UVXY (a fear/volatility trade) or BIL (very short-term Treasury bills).
If the market looks weak, it may buy TECL for a sharp tech rebound, trade UPRO/SPXU tactically, or hide in bonds.
Out-of-sample edge: ~57.8% annualized return vs ~18.5% S&P, Sharpe ~1.19, Calmar ~1.62, alpha ~0.13%. Higher drawdowns (~35.6% vs ~18.8%), but potential for superior risk‑adjusted growth via adaptive timing.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | 1.27 | 0.16 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786.38% | 15.6% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.95 | |
| 13,151,466.84% | 118.78% | -4.31% | -4.3% | 1.76 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,315,156,683.59Regulatory Fees
$1,629,690.11
Total Slippage
$15,732,066.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equities, tactical asset allocation, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, risk-off bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks