UPRO for the long term of TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | okhi2u
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast-moving, high-risk strategy that usually bets aggressively on US stocks, but switches to bearish, bond, or fear-based funds when markets look overheated, volatile, or weak.
This strategy asks one question each day: should it bet hard on the US stock market, bet against it, hide in long-term government bonds, or use “fear” funds?
It treats SPY (big US stocks), QQQ/TQQQ (tech-heavy stocks), and volatility funds as warning gauges. If the market trend looks healthy, it usually buys SPXL, a fund that amplifies S&P 500 gains and losses 3x. If stocks look overheated, too jumpy, or panic is rising, it shifts to SPXU (bets against stocks), TLT (long Treasury bonds), or sometimes UVXY/VIXY (funds that rise when market fear spikes).
In simple terms: it tries to ride strong markets, buy sharp dips, and turn defensive during stress.
Regime-switching strategy delivering higher upside in up markets (out-of-sample ~37% annually vs SPY ~21%), with built-in hedges and alpha. Note: drawdowns can be larger in stress, reflecting active risk management.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 0.99 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719.04% | 15.08% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 21,866,136.98% | 127.27% | -1.15% | -1.15% | 1.87 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,186,623,697.80Regulatory Fees
$2,783,998.43
Total Slippage
$26,913,973.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 27, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, inverse hedge, volatility trading, trend-following, mean-reversion
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks