UPRO for the long term of TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | okhi2u
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Aggressive, rules‑based switcher among SPXL (3x S&P 500), SPXU (3x short), VIXY/UVXY (fear), and TLT (Treasuries). Uses trend, hot/overbought vs cold/oversold (RSI), recent drops, and volatility to ride rallies and protect or profit in selloffs. Very high risk.
First it checks the long‑term trend: is the S&P 500 (SPY) above its 200‑day average? If yes, it usually holds SPXL (3x S&P 500). If prices look overheated (RSI = a 0–100 “hot/cold” score) or after sharp drops, it may flip to SPXU (3x short) or to fear‑index funds VIXY/UVXY. If swings get wild, it parks in TLT (long U.S. Treasuries). If SPY is below its 200‑day, it mainly plays defense with SPXU, VIXY/UVXY or TLT, with brief bounce trades in SPXL.
Promising upside: oos return 50.7% vs SPY 22.2%, Calmar ~1.13 offers solid risk-control. Dynamic levered exposure + volatility hedges aim for big rallies; but expect larger drawdowns (~45%) in drops.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | 0.98 | 0.1 | 0.32 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620.2% | 14.76% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 21,745,895.3% | 135.6% | -1.63% | -2.25% | 1.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,174,599,530.22Regulatory Fees
$1,985,173.77
Total Slippage
$14,270,385.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 27, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility hedging, market timing, risk-on/risk-off, us equities, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks