UPRO For The Long Term Feaver Edition
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules‑based S&P‑centric strategy. Above the long‑term trend it holds 3x S&P (UPRO) unless the market looks overheated, then it flips to volatility/anti‑beta hedges. Below trend it buys oversold bounces or rotates to SPXU or TLT.
Uses SPY’s 200‑day average to set risk: above = risk‑on, below = risk‑off. RSI is a 0–100 “hot/cold” score of recent moves (≈80 very hot, ≈30 washed‑out).
Above trend: default UPRO (3x S&P). If “too hot” (RSI ~80+ on SPY/TQQQ 3x Nasdaq) switch to UVXY (VIX futures) or 75/25 UVXY+BTAL (anti‑beta market‑neutral); if longer‑term heat (RSI‑60>60) use BTAL.
Below trend: buy oversold bounces in TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) or UPRO; otherwise choose SPXU (‑3x S&P) or TLT (20+yr Treasuries) by short‑term strength.
Out-of-sample: Sharpe 1.39 vs SPY 1.05; Calmar 1.88; annualized return ~81.6% vs ~18.5%. A disciplined, daily-rule strategy that captures leveraged upside with hedges, but comes with larger drawdowns (~43%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 1.22 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 48,890,713.78% | 148.66% | -1.61% | -2.2% | 2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,889,081,378.19Regulatory Fees
$6,586,692.59
Total Slippage
$47,362,942.13
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical, trend + mean reversion, volatility hedge, market-neutral overlay, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type