UPRO For The Long Term Feaver Edition
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule-based switcher. Uses SPY’s 200‑day trend and short‑term RSI “hot/cold” readings to toggle between offense (UPRO/TQQQ) and defense (SPXU, TLT, UVXY, BTAL). Buys big dips; hedges or moves to volatility when markets run too hot.
Daily, it first asks: is the S&P 500 (SPY) above its 200‑day average? If yes, it’s risk‑on. If short‑term momentum (RSI, a 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge) is very hot, it shifts to shock absorbers (UVXY and BTAL). If not, it prefers UPRO (3× S&P) or BTAL. If SPY is below its 200‑day (risk‑off), it buys big dips in TQQQ/UPRO when deeply oversold, else holds the stronger of SPXU (3× inverse S&P) or TLT. UVXY=VIX futures; BTAL=low‑beta long/high‑beta short.
Out-of-sample, this regime-switching strategy beats SPY on risk-adjusted returns: Sharpe ~1.39 vs ~1.05, Calmar ~1.88, and ~82% annualized vs ~19% for SPY, with volatility hedges for turbulence. Higher upside, controlled downside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 1.22 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 45,610,281.38% | 146.91% | -6.26% | -2.87% | 1.98 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,561,038,137.65Regulatory Fees
$6,586,692.59
Total Slippage
$47,362,942.13
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedge, tactical allocation, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type