Updated | V2 Dereck Nielsen All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑based, daily‑rebalanced all‑weather mix of commodities, gold, Treasuries, U.S. stocks, dollar, and staples. Buys strength, parks in T‑bills when weak, and can hedge or use 2x funds during sharp Nasdaq downturns.
Split 100% across sleeves: 10% commodities (DBC), 10% gold (GLD), 20% Treasuries: 7–10yr (IEF) and 20+yr that can switch to 1–3yr (TLT/SHY), 40% stocks: S&P 500 (SPY) + Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) with occasional semis (SOXX), 10% U.S. dollar (UUP), 10% consumer staples (XLP). Own only when price trend is up (vs moving averages); otherwise hold T‑bills (SHV). RSI (a “heat” gauge) helps avoid buying when too hot and can trigger hedges (PSQ) or 2x funds (QLD/QID) in deep Nasdaq selloffs. Rebalanced daily.
All-weather, rules-based mix with hedges and trend filters. Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.93 vs SPY 1.12; Calmar 2.18; max drawdown 8.7% vs 18.8%. Low beta (~0.38) means steadier, risk-controlled growth with competitive returns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512.93% | 10.21% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 1,250.19% | 14.98% | 1.64% | 5.52% | 1.79 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$135,018.75Regulatory Fees
$448.73
Total Slippage
$2,101.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 26, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
All weather, multi-asset, trend following, momentum, tactical allocation, hedging, daily rebalance, leveraged etfs, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks