Umbrella Trend
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Owns recent winners across stocks, bonds, gold, commodities, and the US dollar, plus a tactical sleeve that buys big‑tech on deep dips or shifts defensive. Uses risk‑based sizing and trades only when positions drift significantly.
Two sleeves.
1) Momentum (~65%): buys the 2 best performers over ~6 months from SPY (US stocks), TLT (long US Treasuries), GLD (gold), SHV (T‑bills), DBC (commodities), UUP (US dollar).
2) Tactical (~30%): if QQQ (big tech) just fell hard, it either buys QQQ when deeply oversold (RSI, a 0–100 pressure gauge, is very low) or uses a defensive mix (gold/treasuries/dollar). In calm times, it holds a risk‑balanced blend of QQQ+TLT (steadier assets get more). Trades only when weights drift ~10%.
Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.83 vs 1.48 and max drawdown ~7% vs ~19%. Stronger risk‑adjusted performance and calmer downside with diversified momentum and tactical hedging—aimed at resilient, smoother growth vs the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 553.92% | 10.64% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.61 | |
| 1,239.07% | 15% | 5.25% | 9.89% | 1.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$133,906.50Regulatory Fees
$383.97
Total Slippage
$2,437.46
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, momentum, tactical allocation, risk parity, volatility targeting, defensive hedging, macro, trend-following, dip buying
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks