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UGL Leading Indicator + Blackswan Catchers
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A tactical, short‑term strategy. It goes to T‑bills by default, buys UVXY when volatility spikes, deploys ~40% to bounce trades in drawdowns, and when gold surges it buys the most beaten‑down high‑octane ETF for a rebound. Uses RSI and short‑term trend ranks.
NutHow it works
It switches between four modes: 1) If gold (UGL, a 2x gold ETF) jumped recently, buy the most beaten‑down ETF from a small basket of high‑octane funds (3x semis/tech/S&P/healthcare or gold) for a short‑term rebound. 2) If the S&P 500’s short‑term volatility spikes, buy UVXY (benefits when fear/volatility surges). 3) If the market’s recent drop is big, put about 40% into “Pop Bots” that try to catch quick bounces using an RSI “hot/cold” gauge (0–100; >80 hot, <30 cold) and short‑term trend ranks; the rest sits in cash. 4) Otherwise, stay in T‑bills (BIL).
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: this strategy delivers ~35.6% annualized returns vs SPY’s ~18.1%, with 9.8% max drawdown vs 18.8%, and Calmar ~3.62. Higher upside, lower risk, and tactical hedges beat the S&P 500 in the test period.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.340.1300.07
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
294.65%13.82%2.19%5.01%0.81
2,532.71%36.13%2.12%3.77%1.03
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$263,271.31
Regulatory Fees
$288.83
Total Slippage
$1,756.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, mean reversion, rsi, gold signal, risk-managed, defensive cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toBIL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 35.61%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 9.84%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, crypto, and options.