UDOW For The Long Term - From TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal |
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules-based, trend-and-momentum strategy that mostly rides UDOW (3x Dow) in calm uptrends, but shifts to cash, Treasuries, or hedges when markets get overheated, volatile, or turn down. It may buy sharp dips and briefly hedge big bounces.
1) Checks if the overall market (SPY) is in a long-term uptrend using a 200‑day average. If yes, it prefers UDOW (3x Dow 30). If not, it shifts defensive.
2) Uses short‑term “heat” gauges (RSI), quick drop/bounce checks, and volatility to spot when things are overheated, panicky, or choppy.
3) In hot or fearful periods it moves to cash (BIL), Treasuries (TLT), or hedges (SPXU/UVXY). In calm uptrends it holds UDOW; on deep dips it may buy the dip.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~35.6% vs ~21.5% for the S&P, thanks to dynamic UDOW exposure in uptrends and defensive hedges in risk-off periods. Higher upside with Calmar ~0.88; note larger drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 1.41 | 0.33 | 0.58 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 82,178.57% | 59.51% | -15.08% | -7.78% | 1.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,227,857.08Regulatory Fees
$17,409.17
Total Slippage
$117,022.71
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, market timing, volatility hedging, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks