[UAV] 🏦 L-T ⚙️ C-M-P-D Machine ⚙️ [Low Beta / DD] 💸 zamson
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A regime-switching, multi-asset strategy that blends safe, bond-like positions with aggressive, leveraged bets on tech/semiconductors and volatility when signals look favorable, and shifts to defense when risk rises. It uses RSI and moving-average rules to pick and time its bets, aiming for high annual returns with built-in risk management.
- The system continuously evaluates a large pool of ETFs across stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and volatility.
- It uses a decision-tree of rules, driven by momentum indicators (RSI) and price/average-price relationships, to decide which regime the market is in: risk-on (growth) or risk-off (defensive).
- Within each regime, it ranks candidate assets by recent performance metrics (moving-average-return, cumulative-return) and selects the best one or few assets to hold, often with a full (100%) weight.
- It employs leveraged growth bets (e.g., 2x/3x ETFs like TECL, SOXL, TQQQ, UPRO) when signals align to maximize upside, and it uses volatility hedges (UVXY) or bear/inverse funds (SQQQ, SPXS, SOXS) to profit from or protect against regime shifts.
- The defensive blocks focus on bond proxies (SHY, BIL, UST-related ETFs), cash-like safety, and protective positions like TMF/TMV, GLD, and UUP to reduce drawdown in risk-off environments.
- Signals are time-windowed (days-based) and may reference cross-asset strength comparisons (e.g., bond ETFs vs equity-based ETFs), creating a regime-aware, tactical allocation rather than a static, buy-and-hold approach.
- Overall aim: achieve a high annual return by capturing momentum in growth assets during favorable markets while preserving capital and reducing risk during downturns through a structured defensive and volatility-aware framework.
Out-of-sample return ~26% vs SPY ~20%. A disciplined regime-switching, multi-asset strategy that leverages growth bets in uptrends and shifts to defense in risk-off. Higher upside with potential drawdowns in volatile periods.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 21%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, hedged, leveraged, momentum, mean-reversion, regime-switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 67 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks