[UAV] Crypto Cycle Monitor
Today’s Change (Apr 4, 2026)
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About
Daily rules flip between cash, a calm‑markets/rising‑rates basket, or high‑beta bitcoin plays. If stocks look overheated, it parks in T‑bills; if crypto leads, it piles into bitcoin proxies/miners; otherwise it holds SPGI, TMV, and SVXY. Includes SPY.
It checks momentum with RSI (a 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge). If US stocks (VTI) look very hot (RSI>75), it parks in T‑bills (BIL). Otherwise it compares Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ) vs Coinbase (COIN): if NDAQ is stronger, it holds SPGI + TMV (profits if long‑term Treasuries fall) + SVXY (profits when volatility falls). If COIN is stronger, it rotates into bitcoin plays—picks a 2‑day leader from GBTC/CONL/MSTR, a 20‑day leader from HUT/WGMI/RIOT, and also holds MSTR. Rebalanced daily. It also keeps SPY.
Out-of-sample edge: ~28% annualized return vs SPY ~18%, with Calmar ~1.08 and Sharpe ~1.0. Crypto momentum plus calm-market hedges aim for higher upside while controlling risk—though drawdowns can be larger in crypto regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 1.27 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.31% | 14.67% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.91 | |
| 347.47% | 51.15% | -7.37% | -10.81% | 1.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$44,746.52Regulatory Fees
$110.17
Total Slippage
$603.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 16, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto momentum rotation, rsi-based regime filter, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged & inverse etfs, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CONL
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
Stocks
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
HUT
Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
Stocks
MSTR
Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
Stocks
NDAQ
Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
RIOT
Riot Platforms, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
SPGI
S&P Global Inc.
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks